Since the tournament began in 1960, there have usually been one or two surprise appearances in the semi-finals, not least in 2004 with eventual champions Greece. Denmark lifted the trophy against all odds in 1992, beating the mighty Germany, whilst the Czech Republic have also reached the final in recent history.
Turkey and Russia made the semi-finals last time around, losing to Germany and Spain respectively. The 2008 Championships were the first where the hosts, or in the case of Euro 2000, one of the co-hosts didn’t make the last four, and it would be a huge shock if either of the 2012 co-hosts were to restart the trend.
Of the two, Poland are arguably the most likely to cause an upset. They, along with Russia are favourites to progress from Group A; though they will face the winners or runners-up from Group B should they do so, meaning their opponents would most likely be the Netherlands, Germany or Portugal.
Ukraine are not expected to finish higher than France and England in Group D, and even if they did, they would most probably face reigning champions Spain in the quarter finals. You can get a best price of 5.0 (4/1) and 6.0 (5/1) for Poland and Ukraine respectively, to make it to the semi-finals, whilst it is hard to see past the three favourites making the cut.
Tournament favourites Spain are 1.57 (4/7) with Bet Victor to still be standing on June 25th, just ahead of Germany and the Netherlands who are 1.67 (4/6) and 2.25 (5/4) respectively.
France and England also have a chance, and are around 3.0 (2/1) to make it, whilst 1980 winners Italy are worth considering at 3.25 (9/4). Portugal are 4.0 (3/1), though they will difficult to get through a group which includes the Netherlands, Germany and 1992 winners Denmark.
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